Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Some interesting Investor's Business Daily poll numbers

The most accurate poll from the last presidential election has released some very interesting internal polling numbers. The striking thing to me is the large number of undecided voters at this point. In addition, a lot of Obama's strength lies in some of the most unreliable voting blocks (younger and lower income voters).

Though McCain would much rather be ahead at this point, he can take solace in the fact that 1) The Dem presidential candidate always seems to poll higher than the official outcome and 2) (which may be related to #1) undecided voters largely break toward the comfortable, safe candidate. With questions swirling about Obama's income redistribution intentions and the specter of an overwhelmingly one-party rule on the horizon, McCain can easily be perceived as the safer candidate.

(Click for a larger image)

I've posted it before. This is NOT '92 or '96. This is looking more and more like the mirror image of 2000 with McCain playing the part of Al Gore. The difference is Gore didn't have to fight against the vote-suppressing doom and gloom we're seeing from the mainstream media. On the bright side for McCain-Palin, this bluster can work against Obama in that the "casual voter" numbers don't turn out for what they think is a sure thing.

No comments: